Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.205780 0.238129 0.273875 0.316303 0.365296 0.420104 0.486090
2025-09-21 0.151584 0.194057 0.245855 0.313677 0.400182 0.506905 0.648727
2025-09-28 0.124520 0.170977 0.231642 0.316670 0.432861 0.586266 0.804565
2025-10-05 0.110495 0.160647 0.229892 0.332489 0.480802 0.687750 0.999161
2025-10-12 0.098566 0.150582 0.225954 0.343140 0.521002 0.781354 1.192555
2025-10-19 0.088570 0.141446 0.221448 0.351310 0.557196 0.871760 1.390577
2025-10-26 0.079332 0.131931 0.214716 0.354493 0.585103 0.951496 1.580180
2025-11-02 0.070243 0.121284 0.204609 0.350524 0.600307 1.011802 1.744235
2025-11-09 0.061287 0.109605 0.191229 0.339135 0.601221 1.047872 1.870632
2025-11-16 0.056858 0.105107 0.189284 0.346805 0.635161 1.142522 2.107820
2025-11-23 0.052156 0.099494 0.184647 0.348939 0.659120 1.221672 2.325326
2025-11-30 0.048467 0.095268 0.181944 0.354114 0.688871 1.313768 2.576104
2025-12-07 0.043500 0.088101 0.173139 0.347041 0.695243 1.364236 2.755675
2025-12-14 0.039600 0.082571 0.166854 0.344162 0.709481 1.431311 2.975922
2025-12-21 0.036819 0.078952 0.163871 0.347445 0.736214 1.525358 3.260775
2025-12-28 0.035710 0.078669 0.167551 0.364801 0.793736 1.687303 3.704762
2026-01-04 0.034132 0.077181 0.168537 0.376485 0.840419 1.831461 4.126699
2026-01-11 0.032440 0.075234 0.168309 0.385448 0.882060 1.969027 4.549327
2026-01-18 0.030453 0.072382 0.165780 0.388941 0.911780 2.083507 4.932494
2026-01-25 0.028068 0.068327 0.160114 0.384586 0.922981 2.157627 5.230459
2026-02-01 0.025357 0.063185 0.151401 0.372091 0.913663 2.183728 5.417430
2026-02-08 0.024257 0.061832 0.151410 0.380506 0.955356 2.333161 5.919667
2026-02-15 0.022867 0.059596 0.149059 0.382847 0.982359 2.450177 6.354466